WEC 33 Preview & Predictions

by Leland Roling 3/25/2008 5:17:00 PM
WEC.tv

After a lax weekend of mixed martial arts action with only the lone ShoXC card making waves in the American market, World Extreme Cagefighting will hold its 33rd event on Wednesday night back in Las Vegas, Nevada. Featured on the event’s main card will be a Light Heavyweight title bout between current champion Doug “The Rhino” Marshall and Iraqi war hero Brian Stann. The undefeated Stann will be looking to use his size to topple the smaller Marshall. In other action, Brock Larson will make his return to the WEC cage against the veteran John Alessio. Ed Ratcliff will be looking to continue his success by using his dynamic striking abilities against a very tough opponent in Marcus Hicks. It looks to be a fantastic night of exciting bouts that should provide some validation for some of the up-and-coming talent in the WEC.

Main Event: Doug Marshall vs. Brian Stann

Brian Stann may finally be the answer that fans have been looking for when it comes to defeating Doug Marshall. With a large frame and a distinct reach and height advantage, Stann could be the immovable object that Marshall simply won’t be able to push away. In most of Stann’s previous bouts, he cruised relatively easy through the first round with crushing TKO wins over Jeremiah Billington, Craig Zellner, and Steve Cantwell. Although he hasn’t faced the stiffest of competition, his overall physical attributes make him a danger to Marshall.

Marshall may have some problems with Stann’s size, but he definitely has the aggressiveness to catch the lengthy war veteran. My biggest knock on Marshall in the past has been his sloppy striking that still seems to win him most of his battles. He’s also seemed to pick up a decent jiu-jitsu base, although it was only proven recently against Ariel Gandulla. I don’t believe Marshall can work that type of game on the ground against Stann, and I have a solid belief that Stann will be the fighter that can neutralize Marshall in the standup game.

Leland’s Predictions: Brian Stann via TKO, Round 1

This is going to be a stand-up war until someone takes one on the chin. My guess is that’s going to be Marshall. Stann has a warrior mentality and throws some nice straight punches down the middle. Marshall is more of a brawler that likes to throw looping overhand punches. He’s a little short to be fighting at light-heavyweight, so I expect Stann to be able to avoid those looping punches and beat Marshall to the punch with his straight punches. Look for Stann to finish Marshall early with strikes.

Joe's Prediction: Brian Stann via TKO, Round 1
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John Alessio vs. Brock Larson

On paper, this is a fight that fans should be looking forward to for a couple of reasons. First, Larson has only lost twice in his career and his second loss was only as recent as in August of last year to Carlos Condit. Secondly, Alessio is not only a great fighter, but he’s also a veteran with a plethora of experience against tougher competition than Larson has taken on. It should be a decent wrestling matchup for both fighters, and I’m intrigued to see how Larson will do against able competition that isn’t on the UFC level, but still has a solid skillset to counter him.

The more I look at this matchup, the more I’m beginning to like John Alessio in this fight. He has more experience, been in the cage against tougher competition, and has added power in his hands that Larson has never really had. He has a solid wrestling base, and can use the talent at Xtreme Couture gym to supplement his training. Larson has a solid record, but many of his wins are against subpar competition. He also has controlling ground and pound, but I think Alessio can neutralize Larson.

Leland’s Prediction: John Alessio via unanimous decision
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WEC 30 Analysis: Remaining fights revealed, Pulver out of due to knee injury

by LR 8/21/2007 7:05:00 AM

It's been a horrendous month for the Miletich family. Staph infection has pretty much ripped through the gym, and Jens Pulver ended up getting it. But.. he didn't secede to it, he just ended up rolling his knee during training and is now out for the WEC 30 main card. The WEC revealed some of the NEW main card fights along with some of the undercard fights for the evening. I'm hoping we can see a few undercard fights as well since some of them are intriguing. The remainder of the card looks like this:

John Alessio (19-10) vs. Marcelo Brito (6-1)
Ian McCall (4-0) vs. Coty Wheeler (6-0)
Bryan Baker (4-0) vs. Jesse Forbes (4-1)
Donald Cerrone (7-0) vs. Sergio Gomez (6-1)
Blas Avena (1-1) vs. Kevin Knabjan (7-3-1)

Some very interesting fights on this card. I won't go too in-depth with these fights as they don't mean a whole lot as far as contendership goes right now. Some of the names are definitely familiar, but some won't be. Blas Avena came off a big win over Tiki Ghosn at WEC 29, and he's right back in there for WEC 30, interesting fight. Sergio Gomez was featured on TapouT! for an episode airing on Versus in which they followed his pre-fight and post-fight against Marcus Hicks. Jesse Forbes fought Matt Hamill in his only loss at the TUF Finale 3. That's just a few facts for anyone not recognizing some of these names.

Breakdown of WEC 30
Stann has been training with Dan Henderson and Randy Couture from time to time. I've read that he is shifting to Xtreme Couture to train. That's a promising sign for Brian Stann. He owns a 4-0 record, all wins by TKO. If he's in training with great wrestlers such as Henderson and Couture, look for a ground and pound clinic. He also has fairly good standup. Jeremiah is a straight boxing and grappling fighter. He has about half his wins via submission and half via KO/TKO. He is the Revolition Cage Fighting Champion, and is considered a force on the ground. If he can outmaneuver Stann, he may be able to pull off a chokeout. I'm going to have to take Stann in this fight however. He has superior training, and I look to see a lot of improvement from him in this fight.

John Alessio (19-10) vs. Marcelo Brito (6-1)
Alessio is well known for his bout with Carlos Condit back at WEC: Condit vs Alessio. He's known for some good ju-jitsu skills along with some straight knockout power to boot. He's coming off a win over Alex Serdyukov at WEC 28, and has fought a few bouts in the UFC, namely against Thiago Alves, Diego Sanchez, and Pat Miletich. He has also fought UFC fighters Jonathan Goulet and Jason Black, all fights resulting in a loss. He's going to be going against another ju-jitsu fighter out of Brazil in Marcelo Brito. I haven't really seen much out of this guy other than his hero is listed as Homer Simpson, come on, that itself deserves a win. I will say this, Marcelo has one video out on Youtube, of his camp in Brazil. It's a rundown shithole. And there is one thing about guys training out of rundown shitholes, they have nothing to lose. Look for this to be possibly an upset fight. Alessio is susceptible to submissions, but Brito uses a lot of Muay Thai. It may not be good for Brito to stand with Alessio's knockout power. I'm going to say Alessio has this one, but look for a possible upset.

Ian McCall (4-0) vs. Coty Wheeler (6-0)
A fight that looks to be pretty damn unintriguing. McCall is a ju-jitsu fighter, at least from the looks of his camp, Next Generation. It looks like McCall has some power, whereas Wheeler is strictly a submission fighter and by the look of his photo, one weak standup fighter. Wheeler trains out of Carlos Condit's camp, but Condit's camp really lacks any unbelievable talent, except for Carlos. My gut says McCall's power is going to take Wheeler, but I really have no idea on this fight. Wheeler seems to have the submission skills, but he has fought pretty much only guys who were fighting their first fight. McCall has at least fought some veterans fighters. McCall by TKO/KO.

Bryan Baker (4-0) vs. Jesse Forbes (4-1)
Forbes is barely more popular than Bryan Baker, and that's only because he got killed by Matt Hamill at TUF Finale 3. Forbes hasn't fought anybody worth a damn since. Forbes seems to be the wrestler and Baker is a striking fighter with some type of wrestling ability. Forbes looks to definitely have better ground skills. Forbes by ground and pound or choke.

Donald Cerrone (7-0) vs. Sergio Gomez (6-1)
You may love Gomez from watching Tapout! on Versus, but Cerrone is a ju-jitsu wrecker. He's won all of his fight via submission, and Gomez basically had the Hicks fight on lockdown until he was caught in a submission. I think Cerrone will take this one in the same manner.

Blas Avena (1-1) vs. Kevin Knabjan (7-3-1)
This one, I'm undecided. Kevin Knabjan is out of Hellhouse, Clay Guida's training camp, and if he's out of there, he has unbelievable cardio. But Blas came out with a vengeance against Tiki, and Kevin has one fight on his record that is almost similar. He was straight beatdown in about 30 seconds by Brock Larson, so I'm wondering if Blas can overwhelm him out the gate. I'm going to take Knabjan, just because I want to see some Guida love rolling into UFC 74.

That sums up my final breakdown of the WEC 30 card. These analysises are short and sweet, and not very in-depth, but most of these guys are out to prove they can fight and deserve the shots at titles and a UFC contract later on. I think once we see these guys get more fights in, we'll have a better feel as to how these guys will perform later.



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