One of the many discussions I've had over the past few days with fellow hardcore mixed martials arts fans has been regarding the quality of the New Year's Eve cards in Japan. On one side of the debate, we have the concept of television ratings driving the matchups that are made on the cards. On the opposite end of the spectrum, we have the idea that end of the year MMA cards should feature quality bouts that determine standing in a division. There is also some middle ground obviously. The MMA card that features the best of both worlds. Capturing the hardcore and casual fans in Japan and now with the addition of the Yarennoka card to the U.S. fanbase with HDNet, an appeal to the U.S. fanbase as well. The question that was asked by the end of this debate was: Is entertainment over quality the main driving force for New Year's Eve cards in Japan?
Yarennoka, Fedor, and the Lightweights
For Yarennoka, it seems to be the best of both worlds... to an extent. Tapping into the number of highly touted lightweight fighters that have either originated in Japan or have had successful runs in Japan seems to be on the list. With battles featuring Tatsuya Kawajiri, Mitsuhiro Ishida, Gilbert Melendez, Hidehiko Hasegawa, Hayato Sakurai, Shinya Aoki, and Gesias "JZ" Calvancanti, there is without a doubt a demand for upper-echelon matchups in Japan, according to the organizers of Yarennoka.
Another aspect of the card is the entertainment portion. With Hong Man Choi avoiding injury and being eliminated from the K-1 Grand Prix Final in the preliminary round, he is now surely close to making a deal to fight at the NYE event. What's the appeal here? Gigantic freakishly tall South Korean who weighs around 330+ taking on arguably the best pound for pound fighter in the world seems like a spectacle fight. Fact is, it is a spectacle fight looking to pull in the casual and hardcore alike to see Fedor perform against a man who looks to be a challenge when you take a glance at him.
In my opinion however, Fedor will decimate the Korean. Choi has a small amount of experience in MMA (1-0), and he also had one of the worst K-1 showings I've seen in quite some time at the Grand Prix Final on December 8th. Not only was he slow in his striking, but he was being beaten by Jerome Le Banner, a hard striker in his own right. Jerome still had considerable size disadvantage in a fight that didn't rely on ground tactics due to the K-1 rules, but striking. Although I thought Jerome would win, I thought a better showing from Choi was expected. A much better performance.
I'm not completely convinced that the lightweight fights won't garner some good ratings, but Fedor vs. Choi may spark some interest from the Japanese public. It's definitely a good fight for M-1 Global as well. Stylistically, Fedor matches up well against the Korean and it protects their investment barring Fedor somehow gets beaten. Entertainment over quality in this case keeps M-1 Global going and provides a potential ratings boost.
K-1 Osaka Dome
In an argument revolving around which card may produce better ratings, I may have to make a case for the Osaka Dome card. Melvin Manhoef's explosive knockout power, Zuluzinho's size vs. Minowa's small frame, but decent ground skills, Japanese legends Kazushi Sakuraba vs. Masakatsu Funaki, and another decent fight for "Kid" Yamamoto. Add in the appearance of Japanese MMA phenom Hiroya in a U-18 tournament, and we may see a solid ratings card throughout the evening.
In my mind, this card stands out as a bigger draw for ratings. It features the David vs. Goliath matchup that the Japanese seem to love. Manhoef seems to be generating a following as well with his big knockouts. Sakuraba will always draw a huge amount of fans and fighting Funaki will only add to that fuel. I suppose I could be wrong on the idea that the quality of the Yarennoka card may outweigh the entertainment value of this card.
Final debate
Which will prevail? Will entertainment prove that it is the king of the ratings war during the Japanese New Year? Will the Yarennoka card have enough star power and great matchups to lure the viewership their way? Fans in Japan may be able to get the best of both worlds as TV times aren't set in stone, but it'll be interesting to see if there is a dropoff. K-1 will apparently be on Network television and Yarennoka will be a PPV card, so neither event will be in direct competition, but will Yarennoka's buy get nullified by K-1's card on national TV? I would think so, what do you think?
Notable Links
Tim Leidecker - Politics of Promoting on New Year's Eve in Japan
"Because Japanese MMA originated in pro wrestling, entertainment comes first when booking fights, especially on Dec. 31. This is why hardcore fight fans don't always get the fight that has the most meaning from a sporting perspective. More often the battle that is made has the most appeal to the casual viewer."
Zach Arnold - FightOpinion.com
Zach has some years of experience covering the PRIDE scandals and other aspects of Japanese MMA. Head over there and browse the articles, he definitely has a unique perspective on the Japanese MMA business side.