Thiago Alves vs. Matt Hughes

The one upset pick of the evening comes in this matchup between the legend Matt Hughes and the up-and-coming talent in Thiago Alves. Much has been made about Hughes’s age and abilities in the cage recently, but I still believe his wrestling style can cause a lot of trouble for Alves. The only real problem for Hughes is that his standup skills are going to be far less dynamic than Thiago’s combinations.

Alves has devastating leg kicks that can halt Hughes’s ground game by weakening him to just standing instead of shooting for takedowns. If Hughes can manage a takedown, he’ll have to rely on his power to hold top control. It’s been questioned recently if Hughes still has that power, and this is the fight he needs to prove it.

Classic striker vs. wrestler in this matchup, and I’m going to take Alves via TKO. It’s a risky pick, but someone’s got to do it.

Leland’s Prediction: Thiago Alves via TKO/KO, Round 2
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Brandon Vera vs. Fabricio Werdum

I’ve flip-flopped my pick on this for quite some time now, and it’s time to put up or shut up. Brandon Vera will be my pick here for a couple of reasons. First and foremost, he’ll have the striking advantage on his feet with the added bonus of likely being lighter and having better footwork. He has some range to his strikes and being technically better will only help his stake at a win if it goes to the judges.

Secondly, I think Brandon Vera can avoid the submission on the ground if it goes there. While I think it’ll be tough for Werdum to get inside to take down Vera, Vera should be able to work some ground tactics himself to get the fight back to standing.

I’d love to pick Werdum here, but the striking war that could happen in this fight heavily favors Vera’s dynamic skillset in that department. He employs great combinations and kicks to keep his opponent guessing and off guard.

Leland’s Prediction: Brandon Vera via decision
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Marcus Davis vs. Mike Swick

As I stated in the past, I’m picking Marcus Davis in this fight. Swick has never impressed me with his gameplans or skillset in any fight. He’s a rangy striker with some power, but Davis will counter with a boxing background, awesome power, and the ability to work the ground game with his strength.

While I think Swick’s submission chokes have a shot at catching Davis trying to put Swick to the mat, Davis’s best attribute to counter would be the muscle he’s gained since moving into the UFC. I’m not inclined to believe Swick can catch him in a hold, and it would be more likely that Davis escapes to crush Swick on the floor.

In any case, I don’t see Davis having problems with Swick’s hands. It wouldn’t surprise me at all if Davis could catch Swick with his heavy hands and put this one away quickly.

Leland’s Prediction: Marcus Davis via TKO/KO, Round 2
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Michael Bisping vs. Jason Day

I have a tough time picking Michael Bisping in almost every single fight I have to analyze featuring him. While I believe he possesses some solid MMA skills, I don’t think he will be able to compete near the top of the 185 pound division. I will, however, put my faith in his matchup for Saturday.

While Day has some great power in his hands, Bisping should have the all-around better skillset to defeat Day. Bisping will have more cardio, better technical standup, good takedown defense, and an uncanny ability to get himself out of horrible positions.

I expect Bisping to avoid Day’s power and work his technical boxing. I’m sure we’ll see Day try for an onslaught of strikes, but that could prove to be tough against Bisping’s range and Muay Thai training. Look for Bisping to pepper Day to a decision.

Leland’s Prediction: Michael Bisping via unanimous decision
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Quick Picks
Martin Kampmann vs. Jorge Rivera: Battle of two dynamic strikers, Rivera is coming off a win over Kendall Grove while Kampmann is finally making his return to the cage since defeating McFedries back in March of 2007. Kampmann will have some good striking as well as some slick grappling on the ground. He has an all-around toolkit to take care of Rivera. Kampmann via submission, Round 1

Nate Marquardt vs. Thales Leites: Huge step up in competition for Leites, and I don’t believe he can overcome the power of Marquardt. While both guys will be very good on the ground, I think Leites will have problems overcoming Marquardt’s conditioning and power. Marquardt via decision

Thiago Tavares vs. Matt Wiman: Thiago will have a much better ground game than Wiman, but Wiman probably has some better standup skills slightly. Wiman has never been impressive to me in his past fights, and he has a tendency to play defense late in the fight far too much. Tavares should be able to get this to the ground and to the submission quickly. Tavares via submission, Round 1

Jess Liaudin vs. Paul Taylor: I’m a bit of a fan of Taylor with his good striking skills and footwork in the cage. He also has a style that keeps coming forward, and he can take some punishment as well. Liaudin has never impressed me, and his chin is susceptible to the knockout. He has some ground game that could be dangerous, but Taylor should win this one. Taylor via decision

Jason Lambert vs. Luiz Cane: While Cane still has some impressive knockout power, he’s going to have a tough time against Jason Lambert’s mauling style on the ground. Lambert was well on his way to victory against Wilson Gouveia until he showed some sloppy standup. I don’t think he’ll make the same mistake twice. Lambert via TKO/KO, Round 2

Roan Carneiro vs. Kevin Burns: Carneiro is a BJJ black belt and is currently training at American Top Team as of Jan. 14th of this year. Look for him to begin shaping his game up to defeat these lesser opponents that the UFC is feeding him. Carneiro via submission, Round 1

Antoni Hardonk vs. Eddie Sanchez:  An evenly matched fight between two heavyweights that likely won’t be making any waves anytime soon. Hardonk is coming off an impressive win over Colin Robinson in just :17 seconds while Sanchez won a war with Aussie Soa Palelei. Hardonk should have the better standup while Sanchez will have some wrestling to draw from. I still think Hardonk can outstrike Sanchez and finish this one. Hardonk via TKO/KO, Round 1

After a highly entertaining event at the end of 2007 for the UFC, they will start things back up on Saturday with UFC 80: Rapid Fire from Newcastle, England. The event will feature the Lightweight championship title bout between Joe "Daddy" Stevenson and the rejuvenated B.J. Penn. Penn will come in as a favorite after easily demolishing Jens Pulver in his previous bout at the TUF Season 5 Finale. After a long wait for the title picture to unfold, Penn is now looking to prove that he is training harder and has refocused his energy to being the best in mixed martial arts. Fabricio Werdum will make his return to the cage after a lackluster performance against Andrei Arlovski at UFC 70: Nations Collide. Werdum has since moved to the renowned Chute Box camp to improve his striking and overall technique in the cage. He'll take on the former #1 contender in Gabriel "Napao" Gonzaga who is fresh off a loss to Randy Couture. Let's take a brief look at each matchup, and we'll give you our predictions in the process.

Main Event: Joe Stevenson vs. B.J. Penn
Lightweight Championship Bout

Joe Stevenson will have his work cut out for him in this matchup. B.J. Penn has been renowned for being one of the best fighters pound for pound in the world for many years. His only knock has been his inability to go deep into fights. His cardio training was his most obvious flaw that contributed to that inability and opponents managed to squeeze out victories against him because of it. He'll have to show up in phenomenal shape with his gas tank full in order to take out the pitbull in Joe Stevenson.

On paper, Stevenson doesn't seem to have an overall advantage in any department. B.J. has been known to have very good striking ability, and has put guys out in the past using just his hands. Penn also has some of the best jiu-jitsu we've seen in the cage, and his flexibility only makes it even tougher for opponents to work him on the ground. Again, the one area in which Stevenson may hold an advantage is the cardio area. Stevenson has solid wrestling abilities with some good submission work to counter B.J., especially if he grows tired.

The big problem here for Joe is that he really doesn't offer much in any area of the fight. He shouldn't want to trade with B.J. for very long unless he can catch an aggressive Penn early. The ground is where Stevenson can dominate if he can get on top of Penn, but Penn's jiu-jitsu would likely cause Stevenson to be on the defensive, even while Penn is on his back.

This fight will come down to cardio. If Stevenson can make this 5 round battle last longer and longer as it goes on, he has a much better chance of putting Penn out for good. Penn will probably want to end this within a 3 round limit before pushing his cardio to the max. Penn's jiu-jitsu alone is scary enough to put him on top in this matchup. Stevenson is definitely a good bet though.

Leland's Prediction: B.J. Penn via submission, Round 3

I’m tired of starting my prediction of every B.J. Penn fight with, “If B.J. comes in shape, no one can beat him.” I believe B.J. Penn will come in shape, and I think he will show why many people, including myself, feel he is pound-for-pound one of the best fighters in the world.

B.J. has tremendous flexibility and uses it to his advantage to avoid takedowns. He has dynamic striking and a solid chin, as proven in his fights against Pulver, Machida and GSP.  Of course, his jiu-jitsu is also off the charts. The only knock against B.J. is his cardio. He has shown a tendency in the past to fade in the later rounds. I feel that for once, B.J. has learned his lesson and will be able to take Stevenson out.

Joe Stevenson is a very underrated fighter. Joe has a solid wrestling base, good striking, and an underrated jiu-jitsu game. Stevenson is going to have to control B.J. in this fight and set the pace of the fight. If he lets B.J. control the pace of the fight, it will be a short night for Joe Daddy. The problem for Joe in this fight is he doesn’t have a lot of ways to win. His striking isn’t crisp enough to hurt B.J., he doesn’t have the superior jiu-jitsu game, and I think he’s going to have a tough time taking Penn down. The best bet for Joe is to clinch with Penn and use that to set up his takedown. From there he should look to control top position and work some ground-and-pound. He’s going to have to be on the defensive, because B.J. can take your back at some weird angles. However, if he’s too defensive, the fight is going to get stood up. 

Joe's Prediction: B.J. Penn via TKO, Round 2
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THE BREAKDOWN: DAN HENDERSON VS. QUINTON JACKSON

Dan "Hollywood" Henderson comes into this fight with a 22-5 record with his most recent win over Wanderlei Silva at PRIDE 33: The Second Coming to win the PRIDE Middleweight Championship Belt. He became the only MMA fighter to ever hold two belts simultaneously and only the second fighter to actually attain two championships in two different weight classes, PRIDE Middleweight and Welterweight.

He also won the RINGS Tournament in 1999, in which he fought three consecutive fights in one night against Gilbert Yvel, "Minotauro" Nogueira, and Renato "Babalu" Sobral. He has a consistent record with big wins over Wanderlei Silva, Vitor Belfort, and Murilo Bustamante in his most recent fights.

Henderson is a member of Team Quest, which has gyms in Portland, Oregon and Murietta, California. The California location is ran by Henderson himself. Team Quest trains fighters such as Matt Lindland, Ed Herman, Jason "Mayhem" Miller, Rameau Sokoudjou, and Gabe Ruediger. In the past, fighters such as Randy Couture, Evan Tanner, Nate Quarry, and Chris Leben were all members of Team Quest. Randy Couture is actually credited by Dan as to getting him involved in MMA.

With this impressive resume of experience and accomplishments, Henderson obviously has a well rounded MMA skillset. Henderson is best known for his strong standup skills even though he has a very strong wrestling background. He was involved in the '93 NCAA Championships and was a member of the '92 and '96 U.S. Olympic Wrestling squad in Greco-Roman Wrestling. Even with this incredible background, Henderson has won by knockout in 10 of his 27 bouts and only won by submission once. He has 11 fights that headed to decision in which he won. His 5 losses were mostly lost by decision except for two losses to "Minotauro" Nogueira via armbar.

So what does all this statistical analysis say about Dan Henderson? Obvioulsy he has a strong standup game. He also has very good cardio considering he has had many of his fights go the distance. Not to be compared to Chuck Liddell, Henderson does have similar traits to the former UFC light heavyweight champion. He seems to be using his wrestling primarily to escape the ground game or for body control on the ground to pound out opponents. He rarely tries to position himself for the chokes much like other wrestlers try to do.

Quinton "Rampage" Jackson is fresh off his UFC title win over Chuck Liddell with a huge knockout victory in the first round that stunned the MMA community. Before that fight, Rampage had started to train with Juanito Ibarra and claimed that he was in the best shape of his life. Juanito's training regiment was featured on UFC: All Access before UFC 71. With a notably better
trainer in Rampage's corner, Rampage looks to be coming off one of the biggest wins in his career and into a dead standup matchup with Dan Henderson.

Rampage's resume is also fairly impressive with notable wins over Kevin Randleman, Murilo Bustamante, Ricardo Arona, "Ninja" Rua, Matt Lindland, and Chuck Liddell twice. His highest achievement in the ring was his title matchup with Wanderlei Silva at the Middleweight Grand Prix known as PRIDE Final Conflict in which he suffered a devastating loss via knee strikes.

Striking is Rampage's game. He has very heavy hands and packs a lot of power into his fists. He's physically very strong and able to pick up opponents and slam them at will as we've seen in the Arona and Sakuraba fights. He is so physically strong that he is very hard to control on the ground and is able to easily break from guards and escape to his feet. Rampage has proved even in losses that he has some skills that some MMA fighters cannot match up against. His chin is unbelievably strong. In both the "Shogun" Rua matchup and the Wanderlei Silva matchup, he took an unbelievable amount of knees to the chin and face that didn't drop him immediately. Especially in the Shogun fight, Rampage remained on his feet until the end of the fight after taking a brutal beating. It should be noted however that in that fight, he suffered a broken rib early in the fight and really was unable to keep going, but kept fighting nonetheless. He's also shown a decent ability to escape chokes, especially in the Matt Lindland fight.

Recently in an interview with Stephen Quadros, Rampage also stated that he has been training with Brandon Vera and Cheick Kongo for an added element to his striking game. I believe this is most likely to prepare for Henderson's power punches.

PREDICTION

Historically, I would think this fight may go to a decision because due to the high amount of bouts that both fighters have had go to a decision, but that wasn't in five round title matchups. Also, both of these fighters have heavy hands and that doesn't make for a particularly long fight.

Henderson has had 4 out of his last 5 fights go to decision, which tells me that his fists have been avoided for the most part recently. It's obvious that his heavy hands are more avoidable that MMA fans would be led to believe. Gono and Chonan absolutely got steamrolled by Henderson's aggressive advance which equaled brutal knockout victories in both bouts. If Henderson can be more aggressive in this bout than in previous bouts, he may be able to do the same thing that Wanderlei and Shogun were able to achieve in their matchups. If the bout becomes a standup fight in which both fighters are trying to pick each other apart, Rampage may have the advantage considering his chin has been proven much more than Dan's.

Rampage is a very underrated fighter. He has excellent takedowns, excellent defense, and he can really do damage in the clinch. Henderson has proven in the last few fights that his style is basically roaming the ring and landing huge punches. His standup really isn't much but his huge guns looping at your face. I'm going to pick Rampage in this matchup via TKO/KO in the 3rd round.

THE BREAKDOWN: MIRKO "CROCOP" FILIPOVIC vs. CHEICK KONGO

Mirko will be coming into this bout with a 22-5 record, fresh off a loss to Gabriel Gonzaga at UFC 70 via a brutal headkick in which CroCop later admitted that the ground game that Gonzaga used on CroCop led to blurriness in his vision and resulted in reacting late to the kick. After the initial shock of the loss, Mirko was quoted as saying he wasn't training very hard at all, and didn't train in a cage setting whatsoever. In response to his loss, Mirko has brought in Gilbert Yvel and Remy Bonjarsky as striking coaches and Dean Lister as a BJJ expert as well as setting up an Octagon in his basement. He will no doubt be heavily prepared to fight in the Octagon and most likely have his striking at 100%.

CroCop's resume is extensive and very impressive. He has beaten Josh Barnett three different times in his career, as well as devastated Wanderlei Silva in an openweight Grand Prix, beaten Coleman, Randleman, Aleksander Emelianenko, and eventually lost to decision to the great "Last Emperor" Fedor Emelianenko. The loss was still very impressive because Mirko's ground game shined in the matchup. He was able to fully avoid the brunt of Fedor's attack, but he did lack a crisp standup game in the fight. Fedor dominated the world renowned striker in the standup department during the 2nd and 3rd
rounds to cement the decision victory.

Mainly a kickboxer, Mirko has been training in Brazilian ju-jitsu, and his new trainer, Ivan Hippolyte, is a legendary Muay Thai champion. Could we possibly see Mirko add the knees to a clinch in the UFC? It's quite possibly he's added some big skills to his game with his already devastated standup kicks. He also has a very good boxing game. He's very quick, and moves in and out of range from his opponenet. Counter punching is his specialized way of boxing against opponents and it can be definitely seen in his fight against Wanderlei Silva in which he caught Silva with a stiff jab while Silva tried to aggressively move in on Mirko.

On the UFC 75 Countdown show, Mirko stated that in his last fight when Gonzaga knocked him out that "shit happens" and that's all he can really say about it. He looked to be training very hard in elbows, defense, and in the cage. He looks to be in better shape for this fight as well, and a bit bigger strength wise.

Cheick Kongo is 10-3 with a recent win over Assuerio Silva at UFC 70. He has been training out of the Fimeu Gym in Paris, in which in his UFC Countdown interview considers it to be one of the best gyms around. He has been training in MMA since he was 5 years old and began with Muay Thai, Kendo, and Karate. He also have some Greco-Roman wrestling training to supplement his standup game.

Kongo hasn't had many notable wins in his career. His last fight against Assuerio Silva was his most notable win and it was fairly lackluster. Kongo primarily kept the fight up, which was a good strategy, but had a few chances to rain punches down on Silva. He respected Silva's ground game and was fairly hesitant because of it. Kongo has been training at Big Bear with Bisping and Jackson, so we should most likely see some improved counter punching and striking from the French man.

PREDICTION

Mirko is coming into this bout off a devastating loss. He's most likely going to head to London, England with the mindset of showing the UFC what he worth and what he's improved on. Mirko's recent interviews and press coverage of his camp have only solidified the fact that he's serious about winning this matchup. Bringing in two premeir strikers and a world class ju-jitsu fighter who has seen the cage helps tremendously in his ground game and cage awareness. He also stated that he has been extensively working on elbows and defending against the elbows. His trainer, Ivan Hippolyte, is also a legendary Muay Thai fighter. He will be perfect practice for Crocop to get familiar with Kongo's style of fighting.

Kongo's best chance is to use his powerful striking to catch Crocop. Crocop has demonstrated numerous times that his boxing tactics are fairly crisp. He's a very quick jabber and moves in and out of range a lot. He also feasts on looping punchers. If this fight goes late and Kongo begins to gas, look for a straight punch knockout. Otherwise, I look to see Crocop win via a kick in the 1st or 2nd round

THE BREAKDOWN: MICHAEL BISPING vs MATT HAMILL

The hype surrounding this fight has grown and grown over the past few weeks in this much anticipated matchup between the TUF 3 contestants. Bisping obviously ended up winning the Ultimate Fighter. Hamill, on the other hand, was not allowed to fight after he suffered a concussion before the TUF 3 semifinals. He has stated numerous times that he thinks he would have won the Ultimate Fighter had he not been injured. This has fueled the fire between both of these competitors.

Bisping is primarily a kickboxer, but has a bit of ju-jitsu in his game along with some strong striking skills. He has won a good number of his fights via ground and pound, but hasn't been tested extensively in the Octagon. His last win was against Elvis Sinosic in which he did show some resilence in the ring. He took a heavy knee and recovered and also was able to pull away from being submitted in the 2nd round. He has a perfect 13-0 record in MMA, but did record a loss in a kickboxing match against Cyrille Diabate at one point in his career. Diabate was the man who suffered a head stomp loss to "Shogun" Rua in PRIDE at one point.

Training out of Big Bear with "Rampage" Jackson, Brandon Vera, and Cheick Kongo, look for much improved striking from Bisping. I imagine his trademark aggressive style and throwdown attitude will be seen throughout this fight.

Hamill is a completely different fighter than his counterpart. Hamill is a Division-III NCAA Wrestling Champion with some standard ground and pound abilities. His most recent victory was over Rex Holman, who was a Division-I Wrestling Champion at Ohio State. During his interview on the UFC Countdown show, Hamill said that fight was a turning point for him because it proved he could hang with wrestler with better credentials and win.

Hamill's training has been extensive in the boxing arena. He trains at his own gym in New York state and is taking full advantage of training with Kimdu Bethel, a 3x Boxing Champion,  according to Matt Hamill's website. It looks like he's stacked on the striking training to silence his critics. Hamill comes into this bout with a 3-0 record in MMA, but against very unproven opponents. It will be interesting to see how Hamill plans to counter Bisping's aggressive style along with his heavy hands.

PREDICTION

This very well could be the upset pick of the event. Hamill's wrestling ability is vastly superior to anything Bisping can offer on the ground. If Hamill can manage to get past an initial onslaught by Bisping or neutralize it with a takedown, he may be able to control the fight. Hamill has stated that during the show, he took all the training seriously and was criticized by Bisping for that. He also thinks because of that, and the fact that he manhandled Bisping in wrestling drills during the show that he will be able to takedown Bisping.

To be honest, I'm going to take a safe prediction and pick Bisping via TKO 1st or 2nd round. I will probably lay some money on the Hamill upset however because I feel he looked much stronger during his TV interview, and Bisping had flashes in the Sinosic fight where he could have lost, especially after the knee to the head. Bisping's standup may be so much improved that Hamill just won't be able to compete with it, and I'm sure "Rampage"'s camp trained him well in takedown defense. It will be a very interesting matchup to say the least, the classic ground fighter vs. standup fighter.

THE BREAKDOWN: HOUSTON ALEXANDER VS. ALESSIO SAKARA

Houston Alexander, out of Omaha, Nebraska, is coming off an upset victory over Keith Jardine at UFC 71. He showed the world that he had unbelievably heavy hands and was able to pound Jardine with punch after punch ending the bout just :48 seconds into the first round. Alexander is primarily a Muay Thai fighter with a heavy emphasis on Boxing. He also has stated in an interview with Gary Alexander of the Ultimate Podcast that he has a ground game that people will be very surprised with. Alexander just recently got back into the MMA game this year with a couple of wins in a smaller organization in March. He was on a layoff for 2 years before that but stated in an interview with UFCJunkie that he had fought over 200+ amateur MMA fights. Many call this "bullshit", but Alexander insists he fought a majority of them in Sioux City, Iowa.¹ 

Alessio Sakara comes into this bout off a win over Victor Valimaki at UFC 70 in a impressive first round knockout. Alessio is primarily a Brazilian ju-jitsu/Boxing fighter from Brazil. He also holds an amateur boxing record of 6-1, mainly fighting in Italy and Brazil.² Sakara comes into this bout looking to prove that Alexander is a fluke, but this matchup is proving to have the makings of a slugfest. Sakara is very good inside, scoring many heavy uppercuts against opponents. He has a good takedown defense and is great a dodging punches.

PREDICTION

This fight is definitely a decent test for Alexander. It isn't a step up in competition however. It really looks like the media hype over Alexander in his last fight has caused the UFC to be tentative in matchmaking Alexander. He should be tested though. Sakara has heavy hands, and some ground game to boot. Look for this fight to be a standup war, but Sakara may be able to really push the pace with his excellent boxing skills. This is another bout that may have the makings to be an upset. Alexander is favored to win slightly, but I believe Sakara's superior boxing skills and heavy inside presence may be able to lift him to the victory. I'd pick Alexander based on his power and extensive boxing experience, but you may want to make a play on Sakara to win. I'm going to go out on a limb and pick Sakara for the upset in the 1st round...

UPDATE: Sakara did an interview saying he was going to come out and just try to outbox Houston Alexander, so I'm picking Alexander via KO in the 1st round.

UNDERCARD BRIEFS

Paul Taylor vs. Marcus "The Irish Hand Grenade" Davis

Marcus Davis is quite the mystery. He compiled a 17-1 boxing record in the New England circuit before suffering a huge knockout loss that literally caused him to quit boxing. He then became excited for the new challenge that MMA presented and here we are now with Marcus sporting a 11-3 record with 4 fights under his belt in the UFC. Marcus sports impressive boxing skills and knockout abilities along with an 8 fight win streak leading into the fight with Paul Taylor. Taylor will be coming in with an 8-1 record and fighting on his home soil in England. He hasn't fought any huge names in MMA, but has fought recently some fighters with fairly decent records, a step up from the fighters he was going up against early. Taylor looks to have some power and ground skills, but he is definitely a fighter that looks to stand and fight. Davis has much more superior boxing. When you are considered one of the top boxers in the U.S. and on the verge of breaking into the big time like Davis once was, it's very hard to pick Taylor winning a standup fight. Davis via TKO/KO in the 1st.

Gleison Tibau vs. Terry Etim

Both of these guys have very good ju-jitsu backgrounds, but Etim is coming into this fight undefeated with 10 wins, 9 by submission. Etim also has only went into the second round 3 times in the 10 fights, winning most of his fights via submission in the first round. Tibau is fighting out of American Top Team, and is very versed in submissions as well. He does like to throw the leather though, and this makes me believe he is more of the complete fighter in this matchup. Etim hasn't fought very good competition, and wasn't that impressive in his last victory. Look for Tibau to finally show his skills on the ground in this fight. Tibau via submission in the 2nd.

Tomasz Drwal vs. Thiago Silva

Both fighters in this matchup have impressive records, but haven't fought really any top notch competition. Silva has just come off a win over James Irvin. Silva has some impressive standup skills and just like any fighter out of Chute Box, has great kicking ability with knockout power. Drwal also has impressive knockout ability, but did that against a lot of guys who've been knocked out a lot. Look for Silva's superior Muay Thai fighting and black belt in ju-jitsu to shine in this bout. If Drwal's standup actually stuns Silva, this fight can be won on the ground by Silva. Drwal has a puncher's chance in this bout with his knockout power though and may be worth laying a small bet on. I'm actually going to take Silva by submission instead of KO because I think he will try to avoid Drwal's standup. I watched a few of Drwal's fights and he won those via KO, but they were somewhat unimpressive in that the competition he fought was simply bad at defending themselves.

Naoyuki Kotani vs. Dennis Siver

Kotani is primarly a submission fighter with an impressive 13 submissions out of his 17 wins. He was able to take Tavarez the distance in his last bout in which he lost. It does prove that his escape techniques and style were able to fend off an excellent ju-jitsu fighter. Siver is also a submission fighter with some knockout power. His last bout was very unimpressive losing to Jess Liaudin via submission in the first round. Look for this fight to hit the ground quick, and for Kotani to win via submission in the 1st round. Siver seems to have a weakness against superior submission specialists, and Kotani has had some very good experience in the past against guys like Aurelio.

Anthony Torres vs. Jess Liaudin

Anthony Torres was a contestant on Ultimate Fighter 2, losing to Luke Cummo early in the show, but has since won his UFC debut over Pat Healy via submission by rear naked choke. Jess is coming into this fight with a 11-8 record, hardly impressive, but he is on a 4 fight win streak. Jess has some impressive ju-jitsu skills that don't compliment his record. Jess has also looked in much better shape in his current four fight streak than he has in previous fights. With that said, I think Liaudin comes in takes this via submission in the 2nd round.

Most writeups sourced Wikipedia.org for data, and various Google searches turned up videos on each fighter, Sherdog.com for fight records.