TUF 7 Finale taking shape, four more bouts analyzed...

by LR 4/24/2008 8:22:00 AM

The Ultimate Fighter Season 7 Finale event on June 21st is starting to take shape with four more additional bouts announced today by the UFC. Spencer Fisher will take on Jeremy Stephens in a lightweight bout while Jeremy Horn will try to once again defeat Dean Lister in a rematch from their King of the Cage 31 bout back in 2003. Drew McFedries will try to knockout Marvin “Beastman” Eastman, and Josh Burkman takes on jiu-jitsu fighter Dustin Hazelett. Although these fights don’t exactly have that excitement surrounding them as we have seen from the Ultimate Fight Night cards and past TUF Finales, there are some battles here that could determine where these fighters are at right now.

Spencer Fisher vs. Jeremy Stephens

On paper, this could be another scrappy war for Spencer Fisher. Both Stephens and Fisher are standup fighters with some decent ground and pound abilities, but can also show the submission game when the chance is available. While Fisher is beginning to maintain a role as a gatekeeper to the mid-echelon talent of the lightweight division, Stephens is beginning to work his way up in the division. He’s 2-1 in the UFC with his lone loss to Din Thomas at UFC 71, and Fisher will be a step up in competition for him. Fisher should be able to use his experience, striking, and overall toughness to pull out a win, but Stephens has a shot with good power in the standup.

Jeremy Horn vs. Dean Lister

A lot of fans are making a fuss about this fight due to the rematch aspect of this fight, but Horn vs. Lister could prove to bore fans who want to see a standup fight. Lister hasn’t been impressive in his stints in the UFC, and “Gumby” has hard times in his last two battles. Nonetheless, Horn is a veteran of the sport and has the submission skills on the ground to defeat a guy like Lister. It could be a grappling chess match on the ground, and I’m always game to see those fights unfold.

Drew McFedries vs. Marvin Eastman

Eastman is known for his appearance, but he certainly hasn’t used it to knock opponents out in the past. At 15-7-1 with 9 wins via decision, the perception that Eastman can flat out strike may be a farce. McFedries, on the other hand, is a power striker that uses his heavy hands to put opponents out. He’s coming off a tough loss to Patrick Cote, but his power alone can change the tide of a fight in no time. Can Eastman avoid the blow for the entire fight if it goes to decision? Will McFedries have the gas this time around? Not a bad battle to add to this free card.

Josh Burkman vs. Dustin Hazelett

I’m definitely not convinced that Josh Burkman can beat up on Dustin Hazelett. Hazelett showed some improved standup in his fight with Josh Koscheck, but Hazelett’s artwork comes from the jiu-jitsu ground game. He has very slick technical grappling skills that can easily overwhelm anyone in his guard. Burkman’s standup needs to improve significantly before I can believe he’s a presence in the division. Looping haymakers don’t win fights unless your opponent walks into one. Let’s hope this one turns out to be a decent scrap, but it could end quickly if Hazelett gets it to the ground.



MMA Roundup: Matchups in the making

by LR 4/9/2008 4:10:00 AM

Yesterday was an exciting day for MMA fans everywhere. Tim Sylvia had reportedly signed on to fight PRIDE Heavyweight Champion Fedor Emelianenko on July 19 at the American Airlines Arena in Dallas, Texas, but reports are now coming out of Russia that contradict the previous report from Sherdog’s Greg Savage… big surprise. Fedor’s manager, Vadim Finkelstein, states on the M-1 Mixfight website:

“At the moment we can’t certainly say the bout will take place come July because the contract is not signed,” Finkelstein is quoted as saying on the website M1Mixfight.com. “However, the both parties are involved in the negotiation process and we are about to break the finishing tape although we haven’t come to an agreement concerning every detail as of yet”

Great, some more obstacles to bull through in order to make this fight happen is exactly what made other fights disintegrate. The quote makes it sound as if they are close to a deal which begs the question as to how much money was thrown Fedor’s way. I highly doubt they gave him the $2 million dollar contract, but it could have been close. Hopefully we will see this deal come through.

Kimbo vs. Thompson to be announced this week

Moving to the other end of the spectrum of quality matchups, Kimbo Slice will officially be announced to take on James Thompson later this week according to NBCSports.com. Sam Caplan reported recently that Thompson was the frontrunner to take on the street brawling Kimbo, and it’s definitely a smart move for EliteXC to feature this fight on CBS.

It may not be a quality matchup, but it will give the viewership tuning in a sense of what Kimbo does… knock people out! Thompson possesses one of the weakest chins in the MMA game today, and the light switch flips off once he gets tagged by a couple blows from most of his opponents. His matchup with Kimbo should be no different, but you never know what to expect from Thompson.

Kendall Grove vs. Evan Tanner

Evan confirmed on his website that he will in fact be taking on TUF winner Kendall Grove over the summer. On paper, the matchup is intriguing because Tanner’s history and quality of opponents far outweighs Grove’s record. Grove has been weak chinned in his recent fights, but he still possesses some range, a large reach, and a formidable height for him to use in all facets of the fight. 

I think this fight comes down to Evan Tanner’s abilities to pound out Grove. Can he get through the length of Grove? If so, he could easily expose Grove’s chin to a crushing blow to end it. Regardless of my assessment, it should still be a tough fight to call at this point. We’ll see how Evan does with the training.

Burkman vs. Hazelett confirmed for June 21

Josh Burkman will reportedly take on Dustin Hazelett in June according to MMAWeekly.com. I’m not high on Josh Burkman’s style of fighting, but he could spell trouble for Hazelett if he can maintain top control on the ground without getting submitted. Hazelett is a very slick grappler, one of the better grapplers in the UFC, and he has smooth transitions from guard to a submission position. I’ve been impressed by his jiu-jitsu skills, and I don’t see a reason why he can’t win this one. The only real threat is Burkman’s strikes, which are looping, slow, and very easy to spot.

Ben Saunders vs. Jared Rollins at UFC 86

Looks like the UFC is rewarding Rollins for a great fight against Koppenhaver with matchup in the Octagon. Saunders has some abilities to avoid the ground and pound, and his length will definitely cause some problems for Rollins. Also, Saunders is training out of American Top Team, which will likely increase his skills substantially by the time we see him at UFC 86.



UFC 82 Preview & Predictions

by LR 2/29/2008 6:08:00 AM

UFC 82 will be an event to remember, or a borefest of decisions, it’s hard to say what’s going to happen in many of the bouts on the card. Many fans are claiming some huge lopsided victories while many others are seeing decisions galore litter the event’s results as we head into Saturday night. Hopefully, we won’t see another Strikeforce at the Dome card. Here’s our picks for UFC 82.

Main Event: Anderson Silva vs. Dan Henderson
At Stake: UFC Middleweight Title

People are starting to call this a pick’em fight, and I’d have to agree. This is one of the toughest fights to mull over due to the stylistic matchup between the two, but also due to the historical dominance of both fighters.

Silva has simply crushed everything in his path. He made Rich Franklin into a rag doll, and simply used his Muay Thai skillset to strike with him, close the distance, clinch, and then set up massive head shots with his knees. That gameplan will have to change if he wants to defeat Dan Henderson.

Henderson’s strength in this fight will be his wrestling. Greco-Roman control will be the key to getting Silva to the floor where Henderson should be able to crush him, but there are problems. First and foremost, Henderson doesn’t exactly wrestle when he needs to. He likes to brawl and showed it at times against “Rampage” Jackson. Secondly, his wrestling isn’t as good as many make it out to be. Sure, he’s an Olympian, but he was sloppy in many of his PRIDE bouts when it came to controlling his opponent. He can’t let that happen against a surgeon like Silva. Nonetheless, he has two big powerful hands to fall back on if he’s in trouble. The potential for a knockout win from either fighter is very high.

I’ve battled with who to pick in this fight for days, and honestly, it doesn’t matter. They are very even in regards to how their skills compete with one another. A BJJ Black Belt with surgical Muay Thai striking against an Olympic Greco-Roman wrestler with heavy hands is a classic matchup that should provide a spectacular main event. Who will win?

I’m going to have to go with Anderson Silva. I was a supporter of the whole idea behind Henderson winning this fight. He has better wrestling; therefore he can get the takedown and pound on Silva. I understand that point. My only problem is that I can only see Henderson ending this fight in the standup, and Silva has reach, awesome power for having such big reach, and he is a surgeon on his feet with his strikes. He can wear down Henderson with punches, and then move in for the kill. People know Henderson can ward off the clinch, but can he do it while he’s wobbly… most fighters can’t. To sum it up, I’m taking Silva because I think he has more tools to end this fight.

Leland’s Prediction: Anderson Silva via TKO/KO, Round 2

The person who wins this fight is the person who can impose their will on their opponent. This is as close to a pick ‘em fight as there has been in recent events, but I like Henderson’s chances against Silva. Henderson has the advantage because of this reason: he can keep Silva guessing. Silva knows that Henderson can take him down, and I assure you, Dan will be using his feints a lot. Imagine dropping his head down and faking a takedown, but instead, he throws that huge overhand right. The thing that scares me about Henderson is that he tends to get into brawls. He abandons his wrestling and will choose to stand and trade instead. I don’t think he’ll make that mistake against Silva. I think Henderson will be able to impose his will and dominate Silva inside the clinch with his Greco-roman ability, and he’ll earn a stoppage via strikes late in the fight.

Joe's Prediction: Dan Henderson via TKO/KO, Round 3

Cheick Kongo vs. Heath Herring

This is another tough fight on the event’s card to predict. Herring has a career that spans a decade, and in that time, he’s managed to win 16 of his bouts by submission. Many fans don’t associate Herring with a submission game, but I think that’s exactly what he’ll be looking to do in this matchup.

Kongo will likely try to use his bread and butter, Muay Thai, to defeat Herring along the cage. It’s been working for him in his two most recent wins, but it hasn’t led him to a finishing win that we would come to expect from such a large and powerful fighter.

Both fighters have weaknesses and strengths, but I think Herring has the distinct advantage in this matchup. His ground skills will undoubtedly come into play, and even though he isn’t the best grappler on the planet, Kongo’s ground game looked non-existent even in the short stint that he was on the ground against Mirko “CroCop” Filipovic. It won’t be an easy task, and Kongo may very well prove that he’s trained hard for this fight, but I’ll go with Heath.

Leland’s Prediction: Heath Herring via submission, Round 2

In my eyes, this is Herring’s fight to lose. Herring doesn’t have great wrestling, but Kongo has a very weak takedown defense. It shouldn’t be a problem for Herring to get Kongo to the mat. From there, I think you’ll see a scramble where Herring catches Kongo in a choke, most likely the anaconda choke.

Joe's Prediction: Heath Herring via submission, Round 2   

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UFC Rundown: New matchups announced

by LR 1/23/2008 4:41:00 AM
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The UFC has been hitting the news wire frequently as of late with fighters beginning to reveal their potential matchups for their upcoming fights. Some of them are quite interesting due to the influx of newer talent that the UFC seems to be bringing along. The future is always a concern, and it looks like the UFC is giving some guys a chance to make a splash in their careers. Let's take a look.

Josh Koscheck vs. Dustin Hazelett - UFC 82

This matchup is a bit deceptive. Most people see this fight as a one-sided affair with Koscheck's outstanding wrestling pedigree dominating an unknown Dustin Hazelett. The problem here is that most fans don't see Hazelett fight since he has been featured mainly on undercards.

Hazelett (10-3) has had some phenomenal performances as of late in the cage. He submitted Jonathan Goulet at UFN 11 in impressive fashion scoring an armbar victory in just 1:14 into the first round. He's currently on a three-fight win streak, and this is definitely a move in the right direction as his skills improve.

Koscheck will be looking to begin another ascension into the upper ranks, but Hazelett's jiu-jitsu could prove to be troublesome. Nonetheless, Koscheck's top control is good, and he could essentially make another run for the title.

David Heath vs. Tim Boetsch - UFC 81

After Heath's bout was scratched from UFC 81 due to an injured Thomas Drwal, the UFC put the light heavyweight back on the card and paired him up with newcomer Tim Boetsch (6-1).

Boetsch is primarily known for his 2007 IFL semifinal battle with "The Janitor" Vladmir Matyushenko. In his only career loss, Boetsch did show an ability to survive against the technically better Matyushenko. Many consider Vladmir to still be quality UFC material, and with Boetsch taking him the distance and being a fairly green fighter, he could improve dramatically in the coming months. He'll get his chance to make something happen against Heath.

Heath hasn't been exactly impressive in his last two fights. To be fair however, Renato Sobral is a world-class grappler and Lyoto Machida could very well be a dark horse candidate for the title. Boetsch isn't at their skill level, so it should be litmus test for Boetsch, and a gauge to see where Heath is at right now.

Diego Sanchez vs. David Bielkheden - UFC 82

Although I'm still holding out for news after this fight that Marcus Davis may fight Diego, Sanchez does need to fight another battle before that can potentially happen. The UFC seems to think so as well.

Diego will be matched up with David Bielkheden (12-5). This puts an end to the rumors that Diego would fight Roan Carneiro. It also marks another Swede making his debut in the UFC, a market that the UFC seems to be hitting hard now. Per Eklund, fellow Swede, was defeated by Sam Stout in a spirited effort at UFC 80 this last weekend.

Bielkheden holds a win over current UFC fighter Charles McCarthy although it was back in February of 2004. The most notable matchup on his record is taking on Mitsuhiro Ishida at PRIDE Bushido 13 in November of 2006, dropping a decision to the Japanese wrestler.

He should prove to be an able test for Sanchez even though his name isn't known in the casual fanbase. He's a BTT member, and will have good training partners to supplement his skillset training. With a well-rounded grappling game and some power at times, he could be an upset pick.

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Tags:

David Heath | Diego Sanchez | Dustin Hazelett | Josh Koscheck | UFC 81 | UFC 82 | Tim Boetsch | David Bielkheden



UFC Fight Night 11 Preview: Complete Analysis and Predictions

by LR 9/17/2007 7:50:00 PM

The UFC storms into the Palms in Las Vegas fresh off a spectacular UFC 75 event that featured the unification of the Light Heavyweight Championship,  a destruction of one of the best PRIDE Heavyweight strikers in the MMA world,  and a few surprises from some up and coming fighters such as Houston Alexander and Marcus Davis. What can we expect from the UFC for this Fight Night card on Wednesday night? From the looks of it, we can definitely look forward to such matchups as Kenny Florian vs. Din Thomas and Terry Martin vs. Chris Leben. Also, we will have a number of appearances from The Ultimate Fighter 5 contestants Gray Maynard and Cole Miller as well as the TUF 5 Winner, Nate Diaz. The UFC has put some solid fights on a card that is the precursor to The Ultimate Fighter 6 Season and UFC 76 on Saturday. Let’s take an in-depth look at the UFN 11 fight card.

The Breakdown: Kenny Florian (6-3) vs. Din Thomas (20-6)


Kenny Florian comes into this bout with a 6-3 record, recently coming off an impressive win over Alvin Robinson at UFC 73. In my initial analysis of that particular fight, I chose Alvin Robinson to win based on his aggressive style and power. I was wrong. One of my only bad picks of the year, Florian showed a definite improvement by neutralizing Robinson’s aggressive style.
 

Florian is primarily a Brazilian ju-jitsu specialist with a black belt in ju-jitsu from Roberto Maia of Gracie Barra ju-jitsu in Boston.  Florian is best known for his contestant role on The Ultimate Fighter Season 1 shows. He was able to make it to the final to face Diego Sanchez, but was stopped in the first round due to strikes. After the Finale, Florian rattled off three consecutive wins over Alex Karalexis, Kit Cope, and Sam Stout. Although the competition of those fighters wasn’t high quality, Florian was coming up as a full-time MMA fighter now. His skills were tested and he was able to easily use his ground game to really excel against Stout and Cope. Florian earned a shot at the vacant Lightweight UFC Championship title against Sean Sherk and was overcome with Sherk’s ground and pound style. He has recently had two consecutive wins, and is now back in the position to earn another title shot if he can secure a win at UFN 11.

Din Thomas is also a very strong ground fighter, having a black belt in ju-jitsu under Ricardo Liborio. Din trains out of American Top Team, responsible for some of the most notable names in MMA such as Gesias Calvancanti, Jeff Monson, Denis Kang, Marcus Aurelio, Wilson Gouveia, and more. Din is also well known for his stint on The Ultimate Fighter 4 in which he lost to Chris Lytle in their semifinal bout by unanimous decision.

Din comes into this bout with an impressive 20-6 record. He has notable wins over Jens Pulver, Matt Serra, and his most recent, Clay Guida and Jeremy Stephens. Some may remember the Matt Serra fight as being a ridiculous controversy that resulted in one judge scoring the bout in the wrong columns on his scoresheet, declaring Serra the winner at the event. Later, Din was declared the winner once the mistake was found. He has had some discouraging losses in his career prior to The Ultimate Fighter series, such as losses to Amar Suloev, Caol Uno, and BJ Penn at UFC 32. Since the show, he has looked fairly impressive in the cage, and is really in the same boat as Florian. UFC contracts definitely help the competitiveness of both guys since it will allow them to focus more on their MMA skillset rather than other jobs to make ends meet. This has been a point that many MMA fans have brought up when bringing up the skillsets of fighters recently coming off the reality series.

Styles Breakdown

Din Thomas is out of American Top Team, so expect some very good skills in the Octagon. He has plenty of great fighters down there to really practice with as far as ju-jitsu goes. He’s very capable of throwing huge punches to stop the takedown attempts from Florian, just like against Matt Serra. He has a vicious ground and pound, and also likes to fake the punches to take the back when an opponent turns to dodge or grab the arms. He’s also very strong and can easily lift his opponent and slam him to the ground. His ground game is also something Florian will also have to be aware of.  Again, his strength plays into this since he can power out of holds and maintain a grip and submit you with his strength.

Florian has excellent ju-jitsu and is definitely going to be resorting to it in this battle. Florian loves to allow his opponent to push him, but enabling him to use throws and clinches to throw his opponent to the ground. His standup game is rather limited as he didn’t show much of it in the Alvin Robinson fight. Florian uses leg kicks to weaken his opponents and go for the takedowns. That’s really going to be the basis of his standup in this bout. Swinging with Din Thomas is not in his best interest. His best knockout power comes from his ground and pound using his elbows. He landed a good amount of elbows against Alvin Robinson and opened a huge cut on Alex Karalexis’s head with those same elbows to end that bout. If he can get Din Thomas down, he will still be fighting to avoid submission attempts from Din. Look for his elbows to come into play on the ground if it gets there.

Sizing it Up

This is a very tough one to call. Florian and Thomas stack up well with each other in the ju-jitsu arena, but their main difference is the standup game. Even when Florian fought Alvin Robinson, he did get hurt in the standup and took the fight to the ground where Robinson could not excel. That won’t be the case in this fight. Din could hurt Florian, and resorting to the ground game may also just make Florian tired or he could potentially get submitted. I think Din has a more all-around game that Florian, but I believe Florian’s ju-jitsu is much better than Din’s ground skills. If I had to choose, I’d pick Thomas via 1st or 2nd round KO/TKO. This fight could easily go to either guy, or a decision, but I see Din using his powerful strength and standup to win it. 

The Breakdown: Chris Leben (16-4) vs. Terry Martin (16-2)

This is quite possibly a candidate for knockout of the night. Both fighters are known for throwing huge leather. Leben is coming off some horribly lackluster performances and Terry Martin is coming off some spectacular knockout wins, a recent run in with the Chicago Police Department, and a whole lot of smack talk at Patrick Cote. This should be a great striker’s matchup

 
Chris “The Crippler” Leben is best known for his knockout style of fighting. He was featured on the first season of the Ultimate Fighter as an outspoken cast member who drank himself retarded. Leben’s antics led to a bout with Josh Koscheck, and he was beaten via unanimous decision. Leben was very upset about the decision and fuming over Koscheck’s tactics of holding him down and not really pushing the fight. He felt Koscheck was trying to win safely. Leben returned to the competition after Nate Quarry was injured during the competition. This time around, Leben lost to Kenny Florian due to a large cut that opened up on Leben’s eye area. At the finale, Leben ended up fighting Jason Thacker, the teammate who had his bed pissed all over by Leben. Leben stopped him in the first round due to strikes and Leben’s career continued.

Leben has some notable wins over Mike Swick, Patrick Cote, and Jorge Santiago. Leben has been the issue of controversy lately. He pulled out in a highly anticipated rematch with Mike Swick, never really giving any reason for the pullout. Swick was then pitted against Goulet, but pulled out due to injury. It is perceived around the community that Leben dodged Swick due to Swick’s recent success in the UFC. 

Terry Martin comes into this bout with a 16-2 record, sporting 10 knockouts and 5 submissions in his career.  His first two stints in the UFC ended badly for the brawler from Chicago, IL. He lost to James Irvin via a spectacular flying knee and to Jason Lambert via strikes in the second round. He took a fight at WEC 24 against Keith Berry and started a four win streak beating Berry, Jason Guida, Jorge Rivera, and Ivan Salaverry. Although not a star studded cast of fights, Ivan Salaverry was no slouch in his most recent fight.

Martin has shown to have some of the heavier hands in the Middleweight division. He has been susceptible to the punches as well, but with only two losses in his career, he’s definitely making waves in the UFC. He also has some underrated ground skills and his aggressive style can force opponents to the ground allowing him to pounce on them at will.

Styles Breakdown


Having seen both of Terry Martin and Chris Leben’s previous bouts, I can safely say that this is a battle of similar styles. Both Leben and Martin are straight bangers who will be looking to come out and knock the other one out. Leben, however, has had some less than great performances in his previous two fights. The fight that stands out the most in my mind is the Kalib Starnes fight. Leben was very hesitant and allowed Kalib to really push the pace early and land some decent shots. Leben missed most of his strikes for much of the match, and even when Starnes was visibly gassed, Leben didn’t push the pace and try to end the fight in the third to change the outcome. His standup was severely lacking during that fight.

 

Terry Martin has had some spectacular fights as of late. His aggression has been one of his top attributes that has really overcome most of his opponents as of late. Ivan Salaverry was revered as a pretty good grappler and boxer. Martin basically ran over Salaverry and straight knocked him out. Jorge Rivera was knocked out in :14 seconds flat. Obviously, Terry Martin’s standup game is very dangerous. What happens when you pit a lackluster standup guy who has shown potential previously that he can be at a level that is competitive and he’s hungry to show the fans his real skillset against a brawler with huge knockout power like Terry Martin? Fireworks.

Sizing it Up

To me, this is a battle of what’s happened lately. Martin is coming off some spectacular knockout wins and has shown some aggressive poundings, great takedown and ground n’ pound tactics, and is overall, a pitbull in the Octagon. Leben has lately been rather sluggish, stood tentative in the Octagon, and hasn’t aggressively pushed the pace. I’m looking to see Martin run over Leben and possibly either ground and pound him or catch Leben early.

Rest of the Card

Nate Diaz (6-2) vs. Junior Assuncao (5-2)

A tough bout to call, Nate Diaz, the brother of Nick “Tough as damn nails” Diaz as I like to call him, will be looking to win his second bout in the UFC after beating Manny Gamburyan at the TUF 5 Finale via referee stoppage due to Manny’s dislocated shoulder. Nate will be coming into this fight most likely in much better condition, and most likely will have better standup as both his brother and himself have been training with Luisito Espinosa, former WBA and WBC Boxing Champion. Junior is well known brother of Rafael Assuncao, a 11-1 MMA fighter with a notable win of Joe Lauzon and a distance fight with Jeff Curran losing via decision. He has a brown belt in ju-jitsu that trumps Diaz’s purple belt at the moment. Although Junior has the edge in the ju-jitsu, Nate’s size and reach will be tough for Assuncao to counter. Look for a late submission by Diaz, 2nd or 3rd round.

Pete Sell (7-3) vs. Nate Quarry (8-2)

The battle of two aggressive strikers with weak chins. Quarry was knocked out by Rich Franklin at UFC 56, and then taking a long break from MMA. Quarry does have a win over Pete Sell by TKO :42 seconds into the first round. He also defeated Shone Carter at UFC 53 with some ferocious striking. Sell is a ju-jitsu specialist with some boxing and muay thai training. He holds a brown belt under Matt Serra, and has trained in striking with Ray Longo. Sell’s big upset win over Phil Baroni catapulted him for a short period, but then he was beaten by Nate Quarry in his next fight. Sell is coming off a loss to Thales Leites, but he has been fighting actively in the UFC. Quarry has had a two year layoff, and he strictly is a freestyle fighter whereas Sell has some skill on the ground and knockout power. I am going to go against the community assumption here and pick Pete Sell, first round surprise.

Thiago Alves (11-3) vs. Kuniyoshi Hironaka (11-3)

A very interesting matchup between Alves and Hironaka. Many people don’t know who Hironaka is, and that’s what makes this fight somewhat unpredictable. Hironaka is most notable for losing to Jon Fitch at UFC 64 by unanimous decision. He has notable wins over “Charuto” Verissimo and Nick Diaz, but to be honest, I’ve never been impressed with Verissimo’s MMA skills and he won by split decision over Diaz. Mainly a ju-jitsu fighter, he has a lot of fights that have gone to decision and isn’t known for being a finisher. Alves, on the other hand, is known as a finisher. In fact, he’s finished 3 out of his last 5 opponents by TKO/KO. He does have losses to Jon Fitch and Spencer Fisher over the last two years. He also trains out of American Top Team, which really makes me want to go with Alves and he’s coming off a suspension for using diuretic for weight loss purposes. I think he’s going to be tenacious coming back into the Octagon. Alves by 2nd round TKO/KO, but I don’t doubt this fight going to a decision.

Leonard Garcia (10-2) vs. Cole Miller (12-2)

To me, this is a clear cut win by Garcia. He went to decision with the always aggressive Roger Huerta in his first UFC fight, and dominated Alan Berube in the TUF 5 Finale. Garcia, I believe, trains out of Greg Jackson’s camp as well. Cole Miller has some fairly unimpressive fights in his 12-2 career, but he did take Shooto fighter Takeshi Inoue to decision. Not bad at all. Miller also did fairly well against Lightweight Joe Lauzon in the TUF 5 series, but eventually lost due to a controversial blow to the back of the head that he didn’t really recover from. Garcia is a fairly good submission fighter and I think he’ll come out aggressive and push the fight to the ground. Garcia by 2nd or 3rd round submission.

Dustin Hazelett (9-3) vs. Jonathan Goulet (19-8)

Back in 04’ and 05’, Goulet was impressive with wins over Jay Hieron, John Alessio, Tony Fryklund, and Shonie Carter. As of late, however, he hasn’t been as great as he once was. After his loss to Josh Koscheck, he fought in some smaller organizations, racking up a 3-1-1 record since the Koscheck bout. Hazelett is on a 2 fight win streak, and loss to the very good Tony DeSouza at UFC: Final Chapter in October 2006. He’s a straight submission fighter, and Goulet is a little bit of both. It’s a tough call, and Hazelett’s latest performances make me want to pick him, but I think Goulet’s experience is going to shine in this bout. I’m going with Goulet by decision.

Luke Cummo (5-4) vs. Edilberto de Oliveria (8-1-1)

Luke Cummo is a product of Team Serra and specifically a ju-jitsu and Muay Thai fighter. He’s been ran through the gauntlet in his career with matches against Joe Stevenson, Josh Koscheck, and Jonathan Goulet, losing all by decision. Luke’s ground skills and fairly decent MMA game enabled him to last against those top level fighters. I believe that this fight will be a definite builder for him. Oliveria comes into this bout with one loss to Paul Taylor at UFC 70. Taylor is the man who nearly KO’d Marcus Davis at UFC 75. Oliveria is out of Brazil and has a majority of is fights in Minotauro Fights MMA organization in Brazil. His one stint in the UFC was a loss and I think this will continue. Luke Cummo via decision.

Gray Maynard (2-0) vs. Joe Veres (4-1)

Maynard is an all-American wrestler who placed 11th at the NCAA Wrestling Championships in 2003. He’s best known for his Ultimate Fighter 5 appearance and subsequent climb to the semifinals, only to lose to Nate Diaz. He has great wrestling, takedowns and great ground and pound. He is also training with Xtreme Couture, which may solidify some decent standup and clinch tactics. Veres is relatively unknown. According to MMAJunkie’s interview on July 24th, Veres is a 2x Ohio HS Division I State Qualifier, placed in the tournament, captain of the Ashland University wrestling squad, 3x NCAA Division II All-American, 4x qualifier, and he’s trained with Hammerhouse. He’s going to have some fairly good wrestling skills, but will Maynard’s wrestling trump Veres wrestling. I think so. And with the training from Xtreme Couture, look for Maynard to ground and pound win this one in the second round.  

Sources include Wikipedia.org, Sherdog.com Fight Finder. Other sources are cited in the text of this preview.





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