Many people have been fairly critical of a possible deal between the UFC and a major network such as CBS. Personally, I doubt that the deal will come to life, and I don't think it will significantly boost CBS's ratings to help it pull some weight during the writer's strike in Hollywood. Before we look at the positives and negatives of this deal, I want to look at CBS's stance in the media market, their demographic to be specific. Does CBS actually fit with the UFC demographically? To be honest, it seems to fit. Let's take an in-depth look at the possibilities with this type of deal
Demographics
SpikeTV and the UFC has stated that the demographic is between 18-35. Young males. This is definitely the target demographic and it is fairly a large audience that they are aiming at grabbing up. CBS seems to have many shows that are aimed at that audience. "How I Met Your Mother", "Big Bang Theory", and a number of other edgy sitcoms litter the network's programming lineup. Add in the entire CSi lineup, the constant stream of reality shows like Survivor that feature scantily clad contestants, the Victoria Secret's fashion show, and the David Letterman Show. It seems like the demographics fit well together. There are a few nights in which we have family programming, but I imagine that the UFC and CBS will be working at televising an event on a weekend instead of a weekly show.
Rumored possibilities
The huge rumor is that CBS would air the Super Bowl Saturday card that would feature Brock Lesnar vs. Frank Mir and Tim Sylvia vs. Antonio "Minotauro" Nogueira. This is actually a very good card to air on a major network for a number of reasons. Brock Lesnar is one of the most recognizable pro wrestling figures. Tim Sylvia is fairly well known to the UFC faithful. Along with those fights, there are a number of other matchups that look promising to entertain the American public that seems to be obsessed with standup wars as evident with all the viral videos out there nowadays. It's a huge card that could generate record ratings for the UFC, and record earnings from advertising dollars.
The rumors are all rooting from the writer's strike, which has a possibility of running for a very long time from the current reports on the strike. There are a number of things that could happen to nix the deal if it happens. The writers could come back. The event could happen, but CBS drops the UFC from doing other events due to poor ratings. The UFC could do rather well and garner another deal for a series on CBS, which would expose the UFC to more viewers. The negatives and positives from the deal are big in regards to the risks and rewards. Let's look at those.
Positives
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The UFC is exposed to a larger audience.
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Larger audience equals more advertising dollars, better ratings, potential to make new deals with new sponsors.
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New sponsors obviously equals a hell of a lot of new money flowing into the organization.
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The possibilities of new sponsors sponsoring fighters with other products.
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If the UFC has success, CBS may look to expand their coverage of the UFC or add a deal that would bring some sort of series to CBS.
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Expands the view of mixed martial arts in the United States
Negatives
My initial thoughts are that the negatives may far outweigh the positives because of that fact that the American public may still view MMA as "barbaric". It also seems that the probability of something catastrophic happening on national television when you have a guy like Tanner or someone like Dana White who somehow manages to mouth off his 10 year old potty mouth on television. Likely, it'll be on a small tape delay to avoid all of this. Will the ratings be enough? It's possible since the event will air on Super Bowl Saturday. I'm 50/50 as to whether this will actually work. If it does, we could see some resolution to a number of problems. Fighter pay, commissions in other states that haven't sanctioned MMA yet, and the possibility of bringing in more money from new sponsors and giving us more events are all bonuses to a positive outcome. We could also see a series on CBS if it's successful. I can see a show now. A MMA show in which regular joe schmos are picked and get to learn to fight MMA and whoever reaches the end "Survivor" style will fight a real UFC fighter. People who watch the show can look forward to the guy getting absolutely destroyed at the end of the show. Great TV!
What do you think?
Give me your take on the deal. I'm leaning on the line right now as to where I think this will be heading. I don't think it will actually happen, but if it does, there are definitely some huge benefits to having a successful event air on a major network. It'll boost the UFC and MMA in general into the arena of being recognized more in the general public. It could bring in new sponsors that actually pay fighters (Xyience does not!), larger audiences with bigger ratings, and a possibility of expanded partnership with CBS. It would also confirm that Dana White lies a lot since he said SpikeTV would be the exclusive network for the UFC.
Interestingly enough, Viacom and CBS used to be merged together. Viacom owns SpikeTV and MTV, MTV2, and a number of other networks. The companies split the merger due to the thought that MTV's growth was being slowed by the slower growing companies such as CBS, CBS Radio, and other mainstay networks that have been around for quite some time. Sumner Redstone, the CEO of Viacom before the split, still controls 71 percent of the voting stock in both CBS and Viacom. Although not technically under one roof, there is definitely influence and a reason as to why CBS was chosen.
It will be interesting to see how this pans out. If it happens and the writer's strike ends, will CBS simply drop the UFC? If successful, will they find a way to continue to fit it into a weekend schedule? Will it have a negative impact on MMA in the United States? Time will only tell, give me your thoughts.
**UPDATE**
According to Greg Savage over at Sherdog, he mentioned during the Savage Dog show that M-1 apparently swooped in to try to bag a CBS deal when the UFC was considering backing out entirely after they asked for a large amount of money because the UFC would lose PPV revenue. The offer was said to be near $15 million, and then they dropped it to $5 million, but CBS passed. M-1 apparently came to the table, and the UFC immediately came back to the table. Talk about trying to stifle the market for other promotions. It's smart though. This is purely a rumor coming from Savage, but he states that's what his sources told him.